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Home Archives for 2010

Archives for 2010

Floundering Around in Mediocrity

Posted on October 5, 2010 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Bob Flounders of the good old Harrisburg Patriot-News wrote in today’s edition that Penn State is, at this point, a mediocre football program, as in fact it has been for several years.

Funny, this Turkey essentially wrote a similar piece back in November 2007. It was the end of the 2007 campaign and PSU had just lost to Moo U. The Nittany Lions wound up playing in the Valero Alamo Bowl that year. I think I fell asleep during the game. A mediocre bowl for a mediocre team having a mediocre year.

In that post I mentioned that aside from two anomalous years, 2002 and 2005, when some especially talented players were playing well, PSU hadn’t done much at all in the new millennium. Ironically, the following year they backed into the Rose Bowl, but they lost miserably to USC.

“It’s the five-year anniversary of the last time the Nittany Lions beat anyone worth a damn.”

Flounders asserts much the same. He leads in with the assertion that this weekend is the fifth anniversary of the last time Penn State beat anyone worthwhile. That was Ohio State, and no doubt you all remember that game. Some say it was the best game in recent history. Penn State 17, Ohio State 10 was the final score. (See my post back then, entitled “One for the Ages“).

The Buckeyes’ offense, a unit featuring future Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith and future first-round picks Nick Mangold and Ted Ginn Jr., could do little against Paterno’s defense. The sellout crowd made it difficult for the visitors to hear – and execute – and when they did, they went nowhere fast against Paul Posluszny, Tamba Hali and the guys.

PSU’s offense was efficient enough, riding touchdowns from true freshman Derrick Williams and team captain Michael Robinson.

That Paterno team had heart and featured great leadership. It played with intensity.

Most important, it was loaded with talent.

Remember what we had going for us back then? Quite a few of those guys found themselves playing on Sundays after leaving Penn State. Ah, the memories.

How many NFL caliber players can you count on the present team? Where is the senior leadership? What kind of a bowl do you think this team will play in with a 7-5 or (gulp!) 6-6 record? And more important, what will the future hold, given that recruiting has not been so great? Once again, Flounders and I are on the same channel:

Looking for reasons why the Lions may not win more than seven games this season? Those are the big ones. Lack of talent and experience. Tell me how many future NFL players you see on the starting offense and defense.

Maybe a half-dozen or so? That might be stretching it. You can make a case for wideouts Derek Moye and Justin Brown, offensive lineman Stefen Wisniewski and freshman QB Rob Bolden. On defense, there’s linebacker Mike Mauti and possibly true freshman linebacker Khairi Fortt and a defensive back or two.

That’s it. That 2005 Paterno team had Robinson at quarterback, Posluszny and Connor at linebacker, Hali and Jay Alford on the defensive line, Levi Brown at offensive tackle, Tony Hunt in the backfield, Deon Butler and Williams at wideout and Calvin Lowry at safety.

And don’t forget about Alan Zemaitis – a Tampa Bay draft pick – at corner and the true freshman from western Pennsylvania, Sean Lee, who came to the rescue in the Orange Bowl when “Poz” hurt his knee. That Lion team was so good its special teams ace – gunner Ethan Kilmer – went to Cincinnati in the seventh round.

It’s going to be a long time before the Nittany Lions put a team like that on the field again. Flounders thinks so, too. It might be darkest before dawn, but I think we’re around midnight right about now.

Paterno and his players haven’t been able to duplicate that effort since. It’s been too long. And don’t look for it anytime soon. The Lions will lose to Big Ten power Ohio State in November and figure to struggle with the likes of Michigan, Northwestern, Michigan State and Saturday’s opponent, Illinois, at home.

Flounders and I are seriously on the same wavelength. The only future opponent he doesn’t mention in that litany is Indiana, which essentially got a $3 million payoff to play in our backyard at FedEx Field instead of their home field on November 20. Still, if Michigan will be a potential struggle for PSU, consider that the Wolverines just barely—albeit spectacularly, in Denard Robinson fashion—beat Indiana last week; therefore, the Lions might have trouble with the Hoosiers, too.

I do expect them to win at least one of the five games against what some of you persist in calling inferior opponents. The problem is that they’re not inferior. I expect Illinois to be no picnic in the park, and I expect losses to Michigan and Moo U. Northwestern could be tough, too.

Let’s re-evaluate that “inferior opponent” thing. It might have been true in 1994, but it is not true now. Penn State is a middle of the pack Big Ten team at best now. Just wait until Nebraska comes along next year to provide another potential top echelon foe.

As Flounders says, I’m not suggesting that these former “inferior opponents” are better than Penn State. They’re pretty much on similar levels. Flounders used the word “ordinary”; I’ll stick with mediocre.

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Filed Under: Penn State Football Tagged With: Big Ten, college football, mediocrity, Penn State, Sports

Regression to the Mean

Posted on October 4, 2010 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Kirk Ferentz and Joe Paterno

This post is indeed about the October 2 football game pitting Penn State against the University of Iowa. After re-reading it, I decided to clarify that early before I start on my characteristic tangential flights of fancy. Between the cryptic, statistically oriented headline and the aforementioned digressions, you might have thought that this was an article about how to successfully pick your nose or something. Don’t worry, though. We’ll get there eventually.

I’m not going to use that French d-phrase that means a feeling of having been somewhere before because it’s been popping up all over the blogosphere and the legitimate media. The advantage of being last man in is that I can avoid the hackneyed pitfalls of all the others who have been there before me. Of course, the disadvantage of being sloppy last is that by the time my game comments are published everybody is already sick and tired of reading about the mess of a game they watched the prior Saturday.

As procrastinatorial as I might tend to be, however, the veritable champion of delayed coverage is Phil Grosz, who publishes one of the more respected independent Nittany Lions sports publications, Blue White Illustrated (BWI). Phil’s spiel is delayed a week, so while some parts of the current BWI address the Iowa game, his feature column still speaks of the Temple game. Almost makes a guy not want to read about it, but I find humor in the situation and in knowing that Phil will inevitably find comparisons to the 1982 team, which he has been doing for time immemorial. Here’s a guy whose career is built on his intimate knowledge of the 1982 team. Just kidding. But I don’t think an old guy with white hair should be sporting a Beatle haircut, either, unless he’s Moe of the Three Stooges. Alas, I digress.

Do you see where procrastination leads? Can you tell that I’m blocking? Oy vey, am I ever blocking. I really don’t want to write about that crappy game on Saturday. But duty calls and I will heed. Here goes.

As expected, the Penn State Nittany Lions (3-2, 0-1 Big Ten) lost to the Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1, 1-0 Big Ten) in Kinnick Stadium on Saturday night before a sellout crowd and a national TV audience on ESPN. The score was 24-3, but it wasn’t that close. For their non performance this week, the Lions were dropped from the polls’ Top 25, while the Hawkeyes moved up to #15 in both polls. Penn State did not cover the spread, but I should have told you to take the “under”. The over/under was 40. My prediction of 27-13 in Iowa’s favor sadly gave too much credit to the Nittany Lions for a nonexistent red zone offense.

It was homecoming weekend in Iowa City. The good alumni of the University of Iowa got one helluva homecoming show at the behest of our hapless Nittany Lions.

Royster is tackled
Tough day to run.

Iowa went into the game with the #1 defense in the FBS division and it showed. My pre-game comments suggested that both teams would have to earn their points through the air, as both rushing defenses were tough. One proved to be a pretender, and you know which one that was. Iowa rushed for a respectable 122 yards, while Penn State sputtered to a lowly 54 yards on 23 attempts for an average of 2.3 measly yards per carry. The first quarter, in which the Lions had a net one yard rushing, was absolutely a parody of a running game, with all due credit to Iowa’s front seven. Yes, readers, Iowa is the legitimate defense and Penn State is the pretender. The only reason that Iowa sank to #2 in total defense after this past weekend is that the Crimson Tide slid past them. Still a pretty respectable place to be. They moved up from #3 rushing defense to #2. Against that tough defense, Evan Royster had 56 yards; the rest of the backfield netted out to -2 yards. I think you can say that the offensive line was beaten up pretty well.

Penn State actually gained more passing yards than Iowa (247 to 227) on 22 completions of 42 throws. However, despite one 49-yard play to Brett Brackett, the average per pass worked out to only 5.9 yards. Iowa’s Ricky Stanzi proved to be the more accurate passer and his receivers the more sure-handed, as he completed 16 out of 22. Both quarterbacks had one interception and Stanzi had one touchdown pass, which was a ridiculous completion to Derrell Johnson-Koulianos standing all alone in the end zone. Any thoughts that the Penn State secondary had potential for greatness should have been quashed right then and there.

[Read more…]

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Filed Under: Penn State Football Tagged With: coaching issues, college football, Hawkeyes, Iowa, Nittany Lions, offensive ineptitude, Penn State, red zone failure

There Ain’t No “I” in Hawkeye

Posted on October 1, 2010 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Happy October, folks!

There ain’t no “I” in Hawkeye, just an eye. They’ve got a well rounded team out there in I-oh-Way, and they’ve been particularly troublesome for the Nittany Lions through the years. This week, #22 Penn State (3-1, 0-0 Big Ten) opens up its Big Ten season against #17 Iowa (3-1, 0-0 Big Ten) in Kinnick Stadium.

We’re finished with the so-called tests. In this Turkey’s opinion, the Nittany Lions haven’t passed those test games with flying colors. By the time the Big Ten season opens, we should know whether the boys have the talent, the desire, and the moxie to navigate the perilous straits of intra-conference competition, to be able to hang with the best of them. I think that from what we’ve seen thus far, this Turkey can conclude that this will not be a memorable Big Ten season. At the beginning of the season, I picked the Lions to finish regular season play 7-5. That means four losses in league play. I see no reason why I should deviate from that prediction now.

The pieces just haven’t come together.

The offensive line improved a little from the beginning of the season, but it took a big hit last week when RT Lou Eliades was lost for the season. Chima Okoli was moved over from the defense and will take Eliades’ place. Although he is reportedly doing well in practice, he and the rest of this line are going up against a very dominant Iowa defensive line.

The rushing game came together, apparently after some motivational speaking between head coach Joe Paterno and Evan Royster, who had a career day against Temple. However, this is not Temple, and the aforementioned defensive line will not be as kind to Royster as was Temple’s. In fact, Iowa ranks #3 nationally in rushing defense. Penn State ranks a dismal #61 in rushing offense. Royster has been held to 3.7 yards per carry by Iowa during the past two seasons.

Our freshman quarterback sensation, Rob Bolden, should be settling down a bit at this point, having already played in that tough road game in front of a hostile crowd at Alabama. However, a couple of our fabled receivers have not done very much this season. And, notably, with the loss of Andrew Szczerba, there has been but a single throw to a tight end this season. No doubt, our coaches are being cautious due to the youth and inexperience of his replacements, Garry Gilliam and Kevin Haplea, who are also needed for pass blocking against the fierce Iowa pass rush. I would expect a little more production out of the tight ends in this game, and I would also hope that Bolden can spread the ball around to take advantage of some mismatches as he spots them. Penn State’s passing offense ranks #72 nationally, and it will have to overcome Iowa’s strong pass efficiency defense, ranked #16.

Ricky Stanzi, the senior quarterback for Iowa, has developed into a serious threat this year. Last week, against Ball State, he completed 19 of 25 passes for 288 yards and three touchdowns. He is taking care of the ball much better than in prior years’ campaigns, and his quarterback rating thus far is 179.41. The Hawkeyes’ passing offense is ranked #32 against Penn State’s #44 ranked pass efficiency defense.

The well rounded offense includes a rushing offense ranked #38 nationally. Penn State’s rushing defense is ranked #39. Iowa ran for a mere 29 yards against Arizona. Both teams are going to have to pass.

Iowa’s overall defense is currently ranked #1 in the FBS, allowing a stingy 227.5 total yards per game. Senior DE Adrian Clayborn is back and is well remember by Nittany Lions fans for his punt block last year, which he returned for a touchdown and the win. Broderick Binns, the other starting DE, is no slouch, either. The Hawkeyes have forced 14 turnovers in the past four games with PSU. This year, they’re tied for #17 in turnover margin (vs. Penn State’s #80). This will be a tough day for Bolden and for the offensive line. It is going to be difficult to neutralize both Clayborn and Binns, especially with a new RT.

“He’s about as good as anyone there is,” said Paterno about Clayborn.

Iowa’s only loss was a September 11 road game at Arizona, in which they were beaten 34-27, somewhat of an upset. The score is somewhat deceptive, because two of Arizona’s scores were on big plays.

Of course, Penn State lost to Alabama, which everybody expected.

The gameday weather will be clear and cold, with a high of 60 and a low of 35. As kickoff is 8:05 PM, you can expect temperatures to be in the low 40s around game time. They’re trying to create black and gold stripes around the stadium (like a schizophrenic white-out) by telling people how to dress based on which sections they sit in. Sounds like great fun. I always liked the Hawkeyes because they wear Steelers uniforms.

Hawkeye head coach Kirk Ferentz seems to have Paterno’s number. Since the 2000 season, he is 7-1 against the elder coach, including a uniquely Penn State – Iowa 6-4 game in 2004. Typically, Penn State has been favored in this rivalry, but not this year. Paterno is going to have to be less predictable than is his typical game on the road, which is characterized by the following quote:

Pardon my French, but [he] is so tight that if you stuck a lump of coal up his ass, in two weeks you’d have a diamond.

–Ferris Bueller

And that witticism brings us to the weekly feature you’ve all been waiting for, the Official, Infallible, Obnoxiously Inimitable Turkey Poop Prediction! But first, folks, I have to thank you readers for putting up with this Turkey’s insane ramblings. You really deserve the credit for keeping me going, even if you tell me that I’m completely full of shit. But I digress. Playing in their home stadium, the betting line currently favors the Hawkeyes by 7, with an over/under of 40. This suggests a potential final score of about 24-17. This Turkey doesn’t see that much offense coming from the Lions, whom I don’t believe will beat the spread. In spite of the past, with wonders like the 6-4 final score in 2004, the over/under looks about right, because Stanzi will provide some offense this year. So I’ll go with Iowa 27, Penn State 13.

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Filed Under: Penn State Football Tagged With: college football, Iowa, Penn State, Sports

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The Nittany Turkey is a retired techno-geek who thinks he knows something about Penn State football and everything else in the world. If there's a topic, we have an opinion on it, and you know what "they" say about opinions! Most of what is posted here involves a heavy dose of hip-shooting conjecture, but unlike some other blogs, we don't represent it as fact. Read More…

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