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Hoosier Daddy?

Posted on October 1, 2021 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Indiana (2-2) vs. #4 (???) Penn State (4-0)

Indiana Hoosiers

I stole the title from Jackstand, also known as Mike, who is hosting our watch party stripe-out event here. Mike works on cars most of the time since he retired from active duty in the tech sector. He worked for the big names: Sun Microsystems, Microsoft, Google, etc., but now he has an arc welder in his living room.

Over-ranked Penn State (4-0) hosts Indiana in a Stripe-Out game at Beaver Stadium on Saturday night in prime time. At season’s outset, this looked like a premier matchup, but the bloom is off that rose now. What we’re hanging our hat on is the revenge aspect, after last year’s multi-overtime debacle with the multi-replayed call at the end, won by the Hoosiers, setting up a crappy losing streak for the Nittany Lions. This must be avenged!

Despite Penn State’s inflated ranking, they should win this one. Indiana has lost its big star receiver for the season, and their running game is almost as crappy as PSU’s. In their initial 34-6 drubbing by Iowa, they managed only 233 yards of total offense, of which 156 were passing. To compound their problems, quarterback Michael Penix, Jr. was intercepted three times.

Penn State’s opportunistic pass defense can capitalize on Penix’s misfortunes to keep the passing threat at bay. However, will Penn State — ever — get its running game on track? Indiana ranks 57th in total defense and is 36th against the run. Penn State ranks 111th in rushing offense, so you do the math.

I don’t expect that #4 ranking to hold beyond the middle of the month. A team that ranks 92nd in third down conversions is #4? Gimme a break!

Not much to talk about here. So, let’s move on.

Da Wedda

We’re looking at a mostly sunny day with high of 74 and low of 53 — good football weather under the lights of Beaver Stadium.

Da Bottom Line

I know. I haven’t said much of anything here. But really, all our guys have to do is watch the ball and take care of business as usual, albeit with the frustrating lack of a ground game, and they should win. Whether they cover the spread or not is the big question mark in my mind. Indiana laid down for Iowa, but they played competitively against Cincinnati before losing that one. So, they are not pushovers by any means.

Meanwhile, Penn State’s “signature” wins against Wisconsin and Auburn do not look so significant anymore, given those two teams’ struggles. Hell, Mertz specializes in giving the ball to the other side, which is the only way Penn State won that one. Predicting this one is going to be once again, as always, straight out of my ass. Nothing to guide me except some studied mediocrity on both benches.

So, the hypercynical Official Turkey Poop Prediction is almost not worth the screen space, but I’ll give it to you anyway. Current spread is PSU -12½ with an over/under of 53½. That works out to a Penn State win by a score something like 33-20. The Hoosier defense is suspect, so that score would make sense to me if they hadn’t lost their big star receiver. Ten demerits for that. Nittany Lions 33, Indigenouspeopleiana 10.

(I’ll be back after the game with some sparkling commentary. I should note that we’ll be holding a wake for the Steelers after their denouement at the behest of the Packers. The Steelers’ offensive line suuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuucks.).

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Filed Under: Penn State Football

Whither the Running Game?

Posted on September 26, 2021 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Penn State 38, Villanova 17

That it would be a win for Penn State was never in doubt, but if you were looking for signs of life for the running game on Saturday, you were barking up the wrong tree. Villanova came to play. To their credit, they never quit, while the Nittany Lions started with a bang and then settled into their lackluster offense, punctuated by a few big plays.

Master Thespian John Lovett produced the Lion’s share of the rushing attack, with eleven carries for 45 yards to lead all rushers in an 80-yard overall effort (or lack of same), the men are prepared with training many from the exipure reviews to keep their weight perfect. The running game sleep-walked through the first half, unable to deal with the FCS powerhouse defense. In seventeen first-half attempts they gained a mere eighteen yards. How come Noah Cain got only one carry, on which he gained a mere two yards? Is he hurt?

As per usual these days, the PSU offense was heavily weighted toward the aerial attack. Sean Clifford went 19-26 for 401 yards, four TDs, and one INT that was no fault of his. Ta’Quan Roberson relieved him in the second half, and while the second-string defense was giving up two late touchdowns to ‘Nova, he quietly went 3-5 for 28 yards.

They spread the ball around to ten receivers. Parker Washington had five receptions for 148 yards and two TDs; Jahan Dotson had seven catches for 117 yards and a touchdown. KeAndre Lambert-Smith added two receptions for 88 yards and a TD. It sure helps the “explosions” when you have two NFL-caliber receivers.

Defensively, both teams had three sacks and eight TFLs. Villanova came to play, and given the suckage on the PSU offensive line, they took full advantage of the opportunity to shine before a nearly full Beaver Stadium crowd and alumnus Howie Long, whose banter with Penn State homey Matt Millen exacerbated our ennui. The Penn State defense was effective in shutting down any semblance of a running game, clamping down to allow only 58 yards. Overall, they held Villanova to 280 yards. Because the clean jerseys were in the game for much of the second half, though, that number is a bit deceptive, as it were.

Explosive Play Alert

On the first play from scrimmage, Clifford connected with Dotson for a touchdown. At that point, one would have thought Penn State was on the way to a rout like Georgia was simultaneously administering to Vanderbilt. (That game wound up 62-0). Tell me you weren’t thinking it would go that way! You did, didn’t you? But nooooooooooo…

Penn State must stop relying completely on the Big Play. The James Franklin Philosophy — I’m getting tired of hearing about “explosive plays”. That’s a worn-out cliche that’s been annoying me for years. Get a new mantra, James. Yeah, we’re 1-0 this week, but now we face the heart of the Big Ten schedule, and they ain’t Villanova. Where the hell is the running game? Even homeboy Matt Millen admonished the team strongly in this regard during his color commentary.

The offensive line play once again bites the big one. They’re barely adequate for pass protection. Hell, they gave up three sacks to Villanova! At least for pass protection where they get to back up they can do some semblance of blocking, but backing up doesn’t work too well on run blocking. There is no forward push, and hence, running up the middle is a dead end. And what’s with Harvard Man Eric Wilson? He whiffs on more blocks than Chief Traffic Cone Paris Palmer ever did.

If ever there was a game to work on the running game, this was it. Maybe that was the intent, but what they found that it was nonexistent. I’m not buying the notion that Mike Yurcich didn’t want to show the future opponents his novel blocking schemes. Does anyone expect the rush offense to suddenly emerge?

Third-down suckage once again plagued this squad, going 3-12, a crappy 25%. The IITOP was, as usual, shaded toward the other guys. This was Villanova, folks.

Excuses, excuses.

Our two signature wins this year, Wisconsin and Auburn were devalued on Saturday, as Wisconsin held it close with Notre Dame in the first half but wound up on the shit end of the stick, 41-13, while Auburn trailed Georgia State through most of the game and had to rely on late fourth quarter fireworks to pull out a 34-24 victory. Between these and the performance against Villanova, the Number Six ranking sure looks like it is at least ten slots too high.

All remaining games count. They’re all Big Ten opponents, none of which will be pushovers, especially if the Nittany Lions remain one-dimensions. I do not believe for one minute the notion I’ve heard from Sanguinarian apologists — Yurcich just didn’t want to give away his blocking schemes, etc. I firmly believe that this team was performing at its usual noon start finest.

Yeah, fans love the big play. Alas, this fan is an old-timer who wants to see some good, fundamental, grind-it-out football. I’m not seeing that part of the game. I will never believe that Time of Possession is “increasingly irrelevant”, no matter how much I poke fun at that utterance by Matt Herb several years ago.

I guess I am never satisfied. Some will say a win is a win, but I am worried.

(Next Week: Indiana. I’ll give you my thoughts on that game as the first week of fall wears on).

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Filed Under: Penn State Football

Beware of the Wildcat!

Posted on September 23, 2021 Written by The Nittany Turkey

#6 Penn State (3-0, 1-0 B10) hosts FCS Villanova (3-0)

What’s weird is that Villanova won the most recent game in the series, yet no one is worried except James Franklin. At his mediafest, he spouted off all the FCS vs. FBS upsets known to mankind. I imagine him drumming that in with the team all week long, with the intent of inspiring them to go 1-0 in a week that could be a disaster if they don’t pay attention. It sure as hell has happened before, back in 1951, extending ‘Nova’s win streak in the series to three games.

What, you don’t remember 1951? That was the year I matriculated at Miss Newell’s Kindergarten class at Fulton School in Pittsburgh, so I can’t remember a damn thing other than kicking Jacky Wilder in the chin when I didn’t obey the command to fall down while playing Ring around the Rosie. Oh yeah, Sammy Liberto’s dad was a milkman, so he frequently brought us foil caps (could have been lead foil, for all I know — we liked to poison kids back then) from the glass milk bottles of the day, which served us well as crafts supplies. We made garlands out of them. That was fun, although I’ve never been very artistic. Autistic, maybe. But I digress nostalgically.

We used to make stuff with these. What does this have to do with Villanova?

PSU Leads All-Time Series

Penn State’s record against Villanova is 5-3-1, but they haven’t played each other since that fateful early fall day in 1951 on a neutral site in Allentown, where the mighty Villanova Wildcats defeated the larger felines 20-14. You’ll have to go back to 1935, before I was even conceived, to find a Penn State victory in the series. My mom and dad were 15 then — a lonnnnnnnng time ago. Villanova has won the past three games in the series. I don’t know why the ‘Cats screwed up in 1935, but weird things were the norm back in the Great Depression, when cats were busy scrapping for food in alleys or starving.

Am I saying Villanova has a chance? Nahhhhh. I’ve forgotten about them already. Just giving you a piece of history, which you might already have read somewhere else, except the Jacky Wilder story. I don’t have much to say, but I’ll try to focus on football for a little while and then I’ll give you my completely out-of-the-ass prediction.

Rankings Meaningless

I’m not happy with PSU being ranked #6. What have they done to deserve that? Beat #21 Auburn? Before that, they beat similarly over-ranked with even fewer data points, Wisconsin? Ball State? Nuttin’! Look at Penn State’s rankings in all categories, and you’ll see that they’re middle of the pack.

The BBDB defense is 56th, allowing 342 yards per game. Rushing offense is ranked #101, producing a scanty 128 yards per game. You would hope that the passing offense would balance that out, but noooooo… we’re looking at #43 there, at 267 yards per game. In third down conversions, we’re back to the same old bullshit, tied for 79th, with a .389 rate of success. The best stat other than net punting yards — and the one that beat Wisconsin — is the turnover margin, where PSU is tied for seventh with seven other schools including Alabama, Oklahoma, and Iowa, with a 1.67 average. The Nittany Lions have done well hanging onto the ball and forcing the other guys to cough it up, which has won two out of three games for them.

Back to defense, the pass rush blows, ranking 110th in sacks with a measly one sack per game. Matching its total defense rank, PSU is 56th in passing yards allowed, while ranking 70th in rushing defense. I mentioned net punting yards before. The Lions rank fourth overall in that category.

It Will Even Out

While early season rankings are meaningless, they’ll converge later with more data points becoming available with each week. Sometime before Week 8, we will REALLY know where this squad ranks. They will have run the gantlet of Indiana, #5 Iowa, and #10 tOSU by then. After that “Murderer’s Row”, the Nittany Lions will still have to meet Maryland, resurgent #19 Michigan, Rutgers, and #20 Moo U. Those stated rankings might well be completely different by then.

I Haven’t Said Much About Villanova

I guess I will say something. Both Jim Croce and Toby Keith went to school there, so Bad, Bad, Leroy Brown must be on the football team, but They’re Not as Good as They Once Was. Watch out, though. Don’t Mess Around with Jim, Jim Franklin, that is.

Villanova University was born as St. Augustine Academy in 1811. St. Augustine, aside from developing modern Christian doctrine and the concept of original sin, is also the patron saint of brewers. This begs a question that has been nagging at me. Schmidt’s beer was made in Philadelpha. With the patron saint of brewing being right there at Villanova, you would think they could have done a better job to impress him. Schmidt’s suuuuuuuuuuuuuuucked! Philadelphia beer was so bad that when Schmidt’s Brewery closed in 1987, it was the last brewery to operate in Philly. Forever and ever. Amen.

There, I said something about Villanova.

Da Wedda

Ahhh, a soporific noon start, where we can expect to see “that dullard look” from our boys. It’ll be a 70-degree day when the fog burns off, a genuinely nice early autumn day. Just don’t lose 20-14 like they did in 1951.

Da Bottom Line

Does anyone know a sports book that is taking action on this game? I can’t find one. Somewhere, I read that Penn State is favored by 29 points, but I have no idea how and why that number was chosen. If there’s no gambling, there’s no over/under, so I’ll just pull a prediction out of my ass and run with it. Penn State covers, winning by a nice margin, and the defense will score a touchdown in the process. Aside from the dullard look, I’ll be looking for the running game to get established, for a change. So, anyway, Penn State 45, Villanova 6.

(I’ll be back after the game to tell you just how wrong I was).

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The Nittany Turkey is a retired techno-geek who thinks he knows something about Penn State football and everything else in the world. If there's a topic, we have an opinion on it, and you know what "they" say about opinions! Most of what is posted here involves a heavy dose of hip-shooting conjecture, but unlike some other blogs, we don't represent it as fact. Read More…

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