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Thriller

Posted on November 3, 2011 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Nick Saban is fond of Michael Jackson, so we chose an MJ opus for the title of this post, as Nick’s present team, the #2 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0, 5-0 SEC), hosts Nick’s former team, the #1 LSU Tigers (8-0, 5-0), at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa on Saturday night. This Turkey has nothing to write about this week, as it is a Penn State bye week, so I’m writing about this game, the latest “Game of the Century.”

Between the Tigers and the Tide, Saban coached the NFL Miami Dolphins. Before LSU, Saban did wonders for Moo U. For a guy who likes only three bands/artists (the Eagles, Michael Jackson, and Al Green) and who annoys his wife by playing the same three over and over again, Saban has sure had a distinguished coaching career. You don’t get to the absolute top of your coaching game by being single (or triple) minded.

It appears to this Turkey that the winner of this vaunted, overhyped game should be able to cruise right into the BCS SSMNC game. That’s theoretical, of course, because surprises can and do happen. But both teams have a relatively easy regular season schedule, with the possible exceptions of the always dangerous rivalry games (Arkansas (7-1, 3-1) vs. LSU and Auburn (6-3, 4-2) vs. Alabama). The SEC East looks to be pretty tame this year, with South Carolina (7-1, 5-1) and Georgia (6-2, 5-1) tied for the lead, which means that the SEC championship game should be just another practice game for either the Tigers or the Tide.  And with so many pundits placing these two schools so many miles beyond the rest of the BCS contenders, THIS COULD BE IT! The SSMNC, early edition, right here.

This game probably won’t live up to its hype — which “Game of the Century” ever has? — as it reaches a new zenith every day. Over 600 sets of media credentials have been requested for the game, requiring that Bryant-Denny Stadium to increase the available media area. The normal media count for an Alabama SEC game is around 450.

Yeah, this is the hot ticket. Several former LSU players who Saban coached have requested tickets from him. His administrative assistant tells them, “I can’t put you in the Alabama section if you’re going to be cheering for LSU.” They respond, “No, we’re fans of Coach Saban.”

Saban has that kind of charisma. His bonds with former players are stronger than the players’ bonds with their alma mater. That’s one reason why his $32 million, eight year coaching contract is one of the biggest in not only college football, but also the NFL. Those kind of bucks have bought the Alabama faithful a 51-11 record under Saban.

Les Miles is no slouch, either, as his $3.75 million annual contract (plus bonuses) would have one believe. Having coached the Oklahoma State Cowboys to become perennial buy valium fast bowl contenders in the Big 12, he was hired at LSU when Saban left for the NFL. Miles was also one of the rumored candidates for the Michigan job when Rich Rodriguez got his ass canned there. (R-Rod has since written a book called “Three and Out”. I don’t think I’ll buy it.) Miles has strong ties to Big Blue, having played and coached there under the legendary Bo Schembechler. Miles was also a contender for the head coaching job at Michigan in 2007, after Lloyd Carr retired, but he bowed out of consideration, stating that he wanted to continue as head coach of LSU. Since showing up during Hurricane Katrina in 2005, Miles has compiled a 70-17 record there.

Why am I dwelling so much on coaching? Because I think it will come down to which team is better prepared and makes better adjustments. The coaches are the key here.

LSU has to figure out how to generate some offense against Alabama’s stingy defense. Alabama ranks #1 in Rushing Defense, Pass Efficiency Defense, Total Defense, and Scoring Defense. They’re giving up under seven points per game. With a secondary as fast as Alabama’s, it might not be too wise to throw against them, but LSU’s junior WR Rueben Randle has the size (6’4″ – 208) to make plays even when tightly covered. Senior quarterback Jarrett Lee can deliver the goods  if Randle seizes the advantage. Meanwhile, Alabama has allowed only 44 yards per game rushing. (Penn State managed to get just over 100.) Sophomore running back Spencer Ware will have to find a way to penetrate that staunch defense. Good luck, mah man!

Meanwhile, junior running back Trent Richardson has led the rushing attack for Alabama to a 14th best 229 yards per game. Richardson himself should go over 1000 net yards in this game. LSU’s rushing defense is allowing 77 yards per game. Alabama’s passing attack, led by sophomore quarterback A. J. McCarron, lost Julio Jones to the NFL, and thus, does not have the oomph that it had last year, assuming that we know what the hell “oomph” is. The Tide’s passing offense ranks #63 and it will face a stingy LSU pass defense, ranking #10 in the nation.

It’s going to be a defense oriented game, obviously, where coaching will be the make or break influence.

And so, so as not to exacerbate the hype with a lot more drivel here, we’ll go immediately to the Official Turkey Poop Prediction for The Game of the Cen-tu-ryyyyyyyyyy. Alabama, playing at home, is currently favored by 4.5 points with an over/under of 41.5. I don’t think either team has seen defenses like they’re about to see. I’m committed to the “under” here. I also think that the spread is too wide. I don’t know why I think that. I just do. Alabama 20, LSU 17.

 

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Filed Under: Penn State Football Tagged With: Alabama, college football, Crimson Tide, Les Miles, LSU, Nick Saban, Tigers, Tuscaloosa

Alabama Lowlights

Posted on September 13, 2011 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Bolden Gets Creamed

What did you think of that game, eh? That first Penn State drive was a hopeful thing, give or take a time out or three. Lawdie, lawdie, Mike’s Garage was replete with unbridled optimism along with a modicum of bemusement over the clock management or lack of same. The much maligned Nittany Lions, from whom nothing much was expected in this matchup, were marching down the field against the vaunted Crimson Tide defense.

“Do you want to revise your forecast now?” asked Jackstand and zbeard, almost in unison. When I told them I was sticking to my guns, they both looked at me like I was crazy. Jackstand is too new a Nittany Lions fan to know how recent history paints an unkind picture of non-performance in big games. Meanwhile, zbeard is a crusty old fan like me, but with a vastly differing outlook at the start of each season. Zbeard is a perennial optimist who expects big things from the Nits until they prove they’re unworthy; on the other hand, I maintain an annual fecal impaction of the optic nerve — you don’t have to be Dr. Todd Sponsler, ophthalmic proprietor of The Lion’s Den, to deduce that the aforementioned condition translates to a shitty outlook — in that I want to see something from the team before declaring that they have even a chance at a distinguished winning record. (And if you’re a fan of the Nittany Lions as well as long sentences, you’re in the right place. After all, why use a sentence when a paragraph will do? But I digress.) So, no. I wouldn’t change my forecast, which you should know was Alabama 35, Penn State 10.

As I am always running late with my post-game recaps, by this time you are well aware that the #3 Crimson Tide (2-0) defeated the #23 Lions (1-1) 27-11. I should have given the Penn State defense more credit. They even looked competent at times out there. I obviously thought Alabama would put more points on the board, so with the over/under at 42, I told you to take the over. Mah bad! But if you took Alabama and gave 10 points, you would have nailed it.

The Penn State defense really did keep the meanies from giving us a good, old fashioned, behind the woodshed lickin’. I have to give some credit to the D-boys before I light into the offense and the coaches. Holding Alabama to under 30 points might sound like a consolation prize to be stuffed into a dusty closet, but it seems to me as if this defense might actually be competent.

‘Bama QB AJ McCarron probably won their version of the two-headed quarterback competition with a 19-31, 163 yard performance with one touchdown and no interceptions. Alabama head football coach Nick Saban had the sense to play just McCarron in this game, which turned out to be a wise move, unlike whatever the hell is happening at Penn State with the offensive brain trust. Phillip Sims appears to be the odd man out in this quarterback battle, and pretty clearly so.

For some ungodly reason, PSU head coach Joe Paterno has stubbornly clung to his stance that the quarterback competition (aka controversy) is not over at Penn State despite this Turkey’s exhortations to shit or get off the pot. Oh yeah, a few others besides me have been on his case about picking a quarterback and moving forward. In spite of all the flack he has been getting (or maybe to show that he’s still the same stubborn old Joe), he split the quarterbacking chores for the Alabama game — to the detriment of the offense — and maintained afterward that the competition between quarterbacks Rob Bolden and Matt McGloin is not over. Good old stubborn Joe.

As it turns out, Bolden has won the competition in everyone’s mind but Joe’s. We fans know best, as you well know. But look at the stats for Saturday: Bolden, 11-29 for 144 yards with no touchdowns and one interception; McGloin, 1-10 for no net yards and nothing else. McGloin never got into a rhythm, while Bolden had his rhythm interrupted like a Catholic couple trying to get pregnant. The gods were not kind to Bolden, either, as at least four catchable balls were dropped by Penn State receivers. Furthermore, each time the brain trust made a quarterback change, the linemen had to get used to new snap vocals, the receivers had to get used to different ball feel and timing, and running backs have to be aware of the myriad little differences brought by a change in quarterbacks. A different personality changes the atmosphere in the huddle, too. With one quarterback for the game, Alabama was out on a smooth cruise down a wide boulevard, whereas Penn State’s quarterback switching shenanigans put it  in stop-and-go traffic on a choked freeway.

Penn State averaged 3.6 yards rushing for a game total of 107 yards — not what we expect of a Penn State offense. I did tell you that Silas Redd was not going to have anything like the productive game he played against Indiana State and — Duh! — I was right. Although he looked great on that first drive, he wound up with only 65 yards on 22 carries, for a measly 3.0 yard average, with a long run of only eight yards. He did score a touchdown, though, but that occurred with 1:53 left in the game and meant only some infinitesimally reduced embarrassment for the Nittany Lions.

Showing his versatility, Bolden capped off that Redd touchdown with a two-point conversion he ran in himself.

The only other Penn State score of the game was an Evan Lewis 43 yard field goal with 7:26 left in the first quarter, after the Nittany Lions stalled at the 26 yard-line during that masterful opening drive to which I heretofore alluded. What happened there? Why did they start looking so good and then broke down in the almost red zone yet, which is a famous Nittany trick? Well, as usual, the play calling became very conservative. Very conservative. Foolishly so. They had squandered three time outs due to poor communications during the drive. (More on that bullshit later.) Perhaps they thought that calling anything more complex than a fullback dive would result in a delay of game penalty as players scratched their heads while Bolden reviewed their responsibilities in the huddle. Who knows? After a brilliant fourth down conversion to the Alabama 29, Brandon Beachum ran for two yards and Silas Redd for one yard to bring up third and seven at the Alabama 26. Bolden tried to convert on third down but Justin Brown dropped the ball, another thing that has plagued the Lions at this early juncture. In any case — heaven be praised — the field goal was good from 43.

[Read more…]

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Filed Under: Penn State Football Tagged With: Alabama, college football, Crimson Tide, Joe Paterno, Nittany Lions, Penn State

Tide Competent; Lions Not

Posted on September 11, 2011 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Just a quick post to reiterate what Frank Gifford might say:

“Turnovers will kill ya.”

“Mistakes will kill ya.”

“Dropped passes will kill ya.”

“Penalties will kill ya.”

The worst mistake was communication failure. Using up all three first half time-outs during the first possession of the game was bad, very bad. ???? ????? Ridiculous, too. Ludicrous, even. It just might have cost the game, as the absence of timeouts later precluded a challenge to an Alabama first down on a crappy spot by the officials after a faked punt. As anyone who watched the game on TV will tell you (Alabama folks, too, if they’re honest), the Smelley runner was stopped short of the first down. Penn State would have had the ball with great field position.

Not getting plays in on time will kill ya. ??? ???? ?? ?????

By the way, were you surprised by the first play of the game (long pass play to Moye, incomplete)? I wasn’t . What is it with Paterno? In the 1980s, passing on first down was a novelty, an unusual departure from Penn State’s typical staid, run oriented game plan. Through the 1990s, employing the long pass early to stretch the defense was very effective. ????? ???? ???? ????? However, seeing this type of play implemented as the first play of the game is no longer a surprise. Even I, the perpetually neophytic pigskin pundit, said hey, how about a long one to Moye, when the Lions lined up for the first play from scrimmage. So, there are two problems with it now. First, no one is surprised; second, someone’s got to catch the pass.

I’ll be back later with further voluminously bombastic thoughts on this abomination of a game. Penn State just cannot win big games anymore.

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Filed Under: Penn State Football Tagged With: Alabama, college, Crimson Tide, football, Nittany Lions, Penn State, Sports

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The Nittany Turkey is a retired techno-geek who thinks he knows something about Penn State football and everything else in the world. If there's a topic, we have an opinion on it, and you know what "they" say about opinions! Most of what is posted here involves a heavy dose of hip-shooting conjecture, but unlike some other blogs, we don't represent it as fact. Read More…

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