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Hoke on the Bubble

Posted on September 29, 2014 Written by The Nittany Turkey

UMDesperate times call for desperate measures, and times are sure desperate in the University of Michigan football program. Most pundits declared head coach Brady Hoke a short-timer at the beginning of the season. The home loss to Utah added fuel to the fire, and the loss Saturday to the Golden Gophers poured gasoline on it. However, it was Hoke’s desperation coaching move on Saturday, endangering a player, that has sparked calls for his immediate dismissal.

K. John, with his Ann Arbor ties, says he would be shocked if [the University] fired him in mid-season, regardless of the situation. However, as counterpoint, I offer the recent sensitivities of the NCAA and its member schools toward athletic injuries, particularly the senseless ones caused by coaching decisions.

In case you hadn’t heard or watched the Minnesota game, sophomore quarterback Shane Morris was allowed to play with what appeared to be concussion symptoms. He could barely stand up and was visibly dazed.

Hoke issued the following manufactured statement on Sunday, cleansed of any potential liability risk by UM corporate counsel:

“The safety of our student-athletes is always our top priority. We generally never discuss the specifics of a student-athlete’s medical care, but Shane Morris was removed from yesterday’s game against Minnesota after further aggravating an injury to his leg that he sustained earlier in the contest. He was evaluated by our experienced athletic trainers and team physicians, and we’re confident proper medical decisions were made.

“The University of Michigan has a distinguished group of Certified Athletic Trainers and team physicians who are responsible for determining whether or not a player is physically able to play. Our coaches have no influence or authority to make determinations if or when an injured player returns to competition. The health and welfare of our student-athletes is and will continue to be a top priority.”

Medical evaluation mistakes can be made, but the kid should have been given the benefit of the doubt. No brown jug is worth risking permanent brain damage or damage to any other part of a young kid’s body. What a crock! (Pun intended — give me a break!)

The ever vigilant sports news junkie Joe passed along some of the Michigan partisan backlash he encountered in his journalistic perusals. Two UM blogs provided details and opinions well worth sharing with my broader audience, all seven of you.

From the Maize N Brew blog, Drew Hallet along with the editors of MnB posit that Hoke should get the axe today. It is well written and worthy of a few minutes of your time.

From the well-respected and always informative MGoBlue blog, we have Hoke’s post-game press conference transcript. Comments  on the Minnesota game itself are also available at that blog.

In other mid-season coaching changes, Charlie Weis was dumped by Kansas.

So, when do you think the axe will fall on Hoke?

 

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Filed Under: Penn State Football, Sports Tagged With: Brady Hoke, coaching change, concussion, Go Blue, Shane Morris, University of Michigan

Well that just plain sucked!

Posted on September 27, 2014 Written by The Nittany Turkey

RD and the Turkey contemplate the pre-game drink creation outside The Cave.

The Penn State Nittany Lions (4-1, 1-1 Big Ten) were roundly defeated by the much maligned Northwestern Wildcats (2-2, 1-0) by the score of 29-6. It wasn’t nearly as close as the score indicates. Northwestern established themselves early, quickly jumping to a 14-0 lead before the Nittany Lions put on their jock straps and scored their first points.

This is the first time since that wonderful 6-4 classic versus Iowa in 2004, also a homecoming game, that Penn State did not score a single touchdown in a game at home in Beaver Stadium. Ten years, man! We’re harkening back to the sucky sounds of [cue foreboding cello in minor key] The Dark Years. This suuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuucks!

Big thanks go to Big Al, who not only forecast the Nittany Lions’ flatness, sort of, but also never swung to the Sanguinarian side when Penn State looked good against the bottom of the barrel of the FBS. He’s consistently called a spade a spade all along.

Thanks also to Joe, who provided the headline for this article with his post-game comment.

Toejam, who watched the game via BTN2GO on his smartphone declared, “It’s been a f*cking waste of bandwidth!” Good thing it didn’t cause him to exceed his limit.

If you were among the Sanguinarians, this turkey included, who had a warm fuzzy feeling about this team after the UMass cupcake crusher, think again, buster! The 2014 Nittany Lions are not yet ready for prime time, and one has to wonder what lies ahead for them.

Big Al had predicted that they would come out flat for 2-1/2 quarters and have to come from behind to win. Specifically, he said, “I’m expecting 2-1/2 quarters of last week’s 1st quarter.” However, he still had PSU winning 19-13. He added the comment, “A slightly better game than the 14-7 loss during the dark years. That game might have been the low point of [St.] Joe’s career.”

On the basis of his apt and prescient pessimism, I’m declaring Big Al this weeks Ace Predictor of the Week.

(Quit yer whining. Yeah, he predicted the wrong winner, but he had the right mindset.)

There were flaws in his prediction, to be sure.  This 29-6 beat-down wasn’t slightly better than that 14-7 loss. It was a helluva lot worse. Penn State was never in the game, now were they? And they never did anything to act like they wanted it.

This is a team in disarray. When your star quarterback is not seeing open receivers and getting into sideline arguments with them, you know there’s trouble in Happy Valley.

Both lines sucked. It seemed as if Northwestern was able to move the ball at will against our vaunted defense, on which it appeared that Mike Hull was the only player flying to the ball at times. They had no fire. Northwestern was able to rush for 104 yards on 38 attempts.

On offense, the O-Line is a total mess, not providing blocking for the run and not providing protection for the passer. Christian Hackenberg was beaten up once again and was visibly limping by the third quarter (although I’m not completely certain that it was hurt pride more than a hurt body). He completed fewer than half his passes, with no touchdowns and one costly pick six interception, although the game was already lost at that point. His final QBR was 12.7. I’m faulting the O-Line for some of that, but Hackenberg’s timing and accuracy was off for most of the day. And so, I think, was his attitude.

He wasn’t seen rallying the troops, as a team captain should. I think that at some point James Franklin should have noticed that Hack — perhaps frustrated by his receivers being continually covered and not having enough time to find open ones — was in need of some motivational ass-kicking. Hack is a sophomore — yeah, he’s a kid — but he was chosen as a team captain and he damn well needs to act like one. No pouting is allowed.

So, what’s this I hear about a “sophomore slump”?

Am I being too hard on Hack? Perhaps, but I’m being hard on Franklin, too.

The word you’re going to hear and read for the next two weeks is “answers”. People are going to want a lot of them.

This Nittany Lions team is frankly not good enough to play in the top tier of the Big Ten. Yeah, I know. One bad beat-down and I’m whining about how bad they are. But five games into the season, we should be seeing an improvement in the offensive line and we’re not. They’re getting worse. Did you see them out there blocking each other? Did you see Mangiro getting pushed back every other play? These guys aren’t going to hold up through the Big Ten schedule.

Meanwhile, Northwestern found some particular softness in the middle of the PSU D-line. That was supposed to be the Lions’ great strength. Harrrrrumph!

Third down efficiency continues to suuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck. Today it was 3-17.

Turnovers, too. Aside from Hack’s errant throw, he coughed up the ball after a hard sack. Adrian Amos had a lucky interception, and Penn State wound up driving its cumulative turnover margin southward by one. Boil out the five gift interceptions of Gary Nova and you’ve got a minus six, caused by the combination of a defense that can’t force turnovers and an offense that can’t protect the ball. Thanks to Mr. Nova, they’re not tied for 110th place along with Vanderbilt for that crappy distinction. (But Michigan is #125 with a -10 hahahahaha).

Northwestern’s defense looked pretty good, but the scary thing is that they were ranked 73rd in total defense coming into this game. Michigan is ranked #8. Ohio State and Michigan State are 13 and 14. Even Purdue is 61st.

Pat Fitzgerald gambled several times on offense. Why not? He had little to lose. His defense was in charge and it really looked like they could move the ball at will against Penn State. Sitting on a 14 point lead, why not go for the bundle? In the end, though, it was more Penn State’s crappy, desperate play that sealed the deal.

As the late Tampa Bay Bucs coach John McCay once responded to a question after a particularly putrid performance by the Bucs about whether he could find anything positive in the loss to Detroit:

“Yes. The parking lot will be a lot emptier next week against Green Bay and people will be able to get in and out easier.”

OK, so who can find anything positive to say? K. John?

Two weeks until the loss to Michigan and there are too many problems to correct to even make a good show of it.

RD and the Turkey contemplate the pre-game drink creation outside The Cave.
RD and the Turkey contemplate the pre-game drink creation outside The Cave.

I think this was my fault. Before the game, I created a specialty libation in order to salute our opponent. It is called the Purple Pussycat Passion, and it is made from Tito’s vodka, Triple Sec, Welch’s grape juice, cranberry juice, and Blue Curação, with a moonshine macerated maraschino cherry. It went over big with the assembled multitude in The Cave.

I’ll be back at some point with a preview of the Michigan game. So help me, I need some encouragement from you readers to redevelop a sense of optimism about the boys. At this point, all I can say is that most of us probably got caught up in post-cupcake euphoria, and we need to temper our expectations accordingly.

 

 

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Filed Under: Penn State Football Tagged With: Northwestern

Northwest Passage

Posted on September 26, 2014 Written by The Nittany Turkey

Quaecumque sunt veraThe mighty (awful) Northwestern Wildcats (1-2, 0-0 Big Ten) bring their sorry act to Beaver Stadium to face the Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0, 1-0) at high noon on Saturday. Penn State is riding high on the virtue of a brilliant 48-7 win over UMass in which they actually showed some semblance of a balanced offense, while the lesser cats are pumped up over beating primo Missouri Valley Conference (Division I-AA) rival Western Illinois, 24-7, for their only win of the young season, snapping a six-game losing streak.

K. John, our intrepid predictor and commentator will be in attendance. He has already checked in, bitching about the inflated prices in State College during football weekends. He dropped off a prediction before he left Dodge, that being PSU 45, NWU 15.

The Wildcats’ losses this season were to Cal (31-24) and Northern Illinois (23-15). Meanwhile, Penn State temporarily leads the Big Ten, as they are the only school with a conference win.

You know, Northwestern used to play Penn State tough, no matter how crappy they looked on paper. There were some epic battles in the past. However, recently, it hasn’t been close. The last outing was 2012, when a Bill O’Brien team depleted by the infamous sanctions prevailed 39-28. One has to look back to 2005 for a close game, which the Lions won 34-29. The all-time series weighs heavily in PSU’s favor, 13-3. OK, I lied about always playing tough. Looking back, 1997, 2001 and 2005 were the only really close games and Penn State won them all. The two most recent losses were during the [cue cello music in foreboding minor key] Dark Years. Northwestern beat the boys in 2003 and 2004, by scores of 17-7 and 14-7, respectively.

Now that I’ve proven that I can do Internet football history look-ups, let’s move on.

Penn State’s defense is the strength of this team, so let’s get that out of the way first. They lead the NCAA FBS in rushing defense and rank tenth in total defense, sixth in scoring defense. Yeah, the front seven is to be respected, but we don’t really know how much respect to give them yet, having played a single conference game against one of the weaker teams in the conference. I’m not so sure they’ll be tested this week, but they will soon be into the heart of the Big Ten schedule and then we’ll know a lot more. I’m going to give them the benefit of the doubt and consider them rock solid, at least against the run.

Team passing efficiency defense ranks only 19th in the NCAA, and this stat was inflated by five gift interceptions of Gary “Turn” Nova in the Rutgers game. I’m pronouncing the secondary a very definite “too soon to tell”. The pass rush is sort of “meh”, too, having recorded 12 sacks for 75 yards in four games.

On offense, you know the story. The UMass game was the only game this season with a balanced offensive attack, and it was only because PSU faced a limp dishrag defense. The inexperienced PSU O-line could play with them and make Z/28 (got that right, Mike?) look good. All other games relied on the arm of Christian Hackenberg and a tandem of great receivers, Geno Lewis and DaeSean Hamilton, to seal the deal. Dramatic game saving drives have been necessary to pull Penn State out of the hole  on two occasions, and the Hack Attack has proven itself capable of performing under duress.

However, how did they get into those predicaments requiring the comebacks? Turnovers, man. Although the Lions rank in the middle of the NCAA pack with a zero net turnover margin, the aforementioned Gary Nova giftage is responsible. Otherwise, they’d be down at the bottom of the heap again.

But Northwestern — OY! They rank 103rd in rushing yards. While that is two notches above Penn State, it certainly suuuuuuuuucks! Ranking 75th in passing yards, they don’t seem to have a fine selection of offensive weaponry. Defensively, they’re middle of the pack or lower, and just look at their quality of opposition for a clue as to how that might play out.

One thing to watch out for, though, is superstud defensive lineman Ifeadi Odenigbo, who will be gunning for Hack on every passing down. Given that Northwestern allows 136 yards per game in rushing, this might be a good time to continue to develop the Penn State running game and take some pressure off the Hackeroo.

The weather for the game should be beautiful fall football weather, 76 and sunny. This should not affect any aspect of anyone’s game. However, it’s a noon start, which used to spell disaster for Penn State. Fortunately, the game is at home, but it was also at home last week when PSU played UMass with its thumbs up its collective ass in the first quarter.

So, now, let’s get down to brass tacks, already. It is time for the Official Turkey Poop Prediction. At season’s outset, I asked our distinguished panel of predictors to forecast each game, and they were unanimous in their selection of Penn State for this game. Who is this turkey to buck that esteemed consensus? The present gambling line favors the Nittany Lions by 9.5, with an over/under of 47. This suggests a final score in the neighborhood of 28-19. Given that the running game is not “there” yet and the noon start doldrums might crop up, I’m tempted to go with the “under”. But I won’t. I’m going to be optimistic, for a change. Penn State 38, Northwestern 10. Take the over.

 

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Filed Under: Penn State Football Tagged With: Northwestern

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The Nittany Turkey is a retired techno-geek who thinks he knows something about Penn State football and everything else in the world. If there's a topic, we have an opinion on it, and you know what "they" say about opinions! Most of what is posted here involves a heavy dose of hip-shooting conjecture, but unlike some other blogs, we don't represent it as fact. Read More…

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